Super League · Mar 11, 2026 13:00
Nkana
PWR 35
Mutondo Stars
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Nkana
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mutondo Stars Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mutondo Stars
DWWDW
STABLE
Nkana
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mutondo Starsvs
0.32
NkanaGoal Probability
Mutondo Sta…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Nkana
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (36%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (18%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 1.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Mutondo Sta…-3
Gap#11
Nkana
WR 42% 25 pts
WR 18% 28 pts
Mutondo Stars
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Mutondo… v Nkwazi | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Mutondo… v ZESCO U… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Mutondo… v Prison … | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mutondo… v Kansans… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Mutondo… v Man Utd… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Mutondo… v Nchanga… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Mutondo… v NAPSA S… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mutondo… v Mines | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Mutondo… v Power D… | 0-2 |
| Dec 07 | Mutondo… v Red Arr… | 2-0 |
Nkana
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Nkana v Konkola… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Nkana v Zanaco | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Nkana v Kabwe W… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Nkana v Green E… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Nkana v Nkwazi | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Nkana v Prison … | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Nkana v Kansans… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Nkana v Man Utd… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Nkana v ZESCO U… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Nkana v Nchanga… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Nkana | 0-0 | Mutondo Stars |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Nkana | 2-0 | Mutondo Stars |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Mutondo Stars | 1-1 | Nkana |
| Jan 06, 2024 | Nkana | 2-1 | Mutondo Stars |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Mutondo Stars | 1-0 | Nkana |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mutondo Stars in strong form (3W in last 5)
Nkana struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.