FAW Championship · Mar 17, 2026 19:30
Treowen Stars
PWR 45
PWR 45
2-1
predicted
Baglan Dragons
PWR 42
PWR 42
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Treowen Stars to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
62Attack44
38Defense55
Goals/G
1.81.2
Conc/G
1.81.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Treowen Stars
LDLDW
STABLE
Baglan Dragons
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Treowen Starsvs
0.20
Baglan DragonsGoal Probability
Treowen Sta…
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Baglan Drag…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#31
Treowen Sta…-12
Gap#19
Baglan Drag…
WR 35% 30 pts
WR 26% 62 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen Stars | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 30 |
| Baglan Dragons | 53 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 66 | 68 | 62 |
Treowen Stars
8.0%
| Mar 10 | Treowen… v Caerau … | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Treowen… v Cambria… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Treowen… v Llantwi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Treowen… v Ynyshir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Treowen… v Cardiff… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Treowen… v Aberyst… | 2-1 |
| Jan 02 | Treowen… v Cwmbran… | 1-2 |
| Dec 26 | Treowen… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Treowen… v Newport… | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | Treowen… v Pontypr… | 1-1 |
Baglan Dragons
4.0%
| Mar 06 | Baglan … v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Baglan … v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Baglan … v Trefelin | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Baglan … v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Baglan … v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Baglan … v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | Baglan … v Trethom… | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | Baglan … v Ammanfo… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Baglan Dragons | 3-4 | Treowen Stars |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Baglan Dragons struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.